Willem II vs Heerenveen result and stats
Win probability: home 27%, draw 28%, away 45%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersWillem II and Heerenveen drew 2–2 in the Eredivisie on Sunday 30 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Willem II 27%, the draw 28% and Heerenveen 45%, so a draw had a 28% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Willem II 1.70, Heerenveen 1.36, so Willem II created the better chances. Willem II had 12 shots (5 on target) to Heerenveen's 13 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
WIHE
1.70Expected goals1.36
12Shots13
5On target5
9Corners7
9Fouls5
0Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Willem II
L v NEC Nijmegen1–4 · 15 Aug
L @ Go Ahead Eagles1–4 · 8 Aug
D @ NAC Breda1–1 · 18 May
L v Zwolle1–2 · 14 May
L v Heracles1–2 · 9 May
Heerenveen
L v Zwolle0–2 · 22 Aug
D @ Ajax2–2 · 16 Aug
W v Twente1–0 · 9 Aug
D v Ajax0–0 · 17 May
L @ NAC Breda0–2 · 10 May
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2021, Willem II won 0, Heerenveen won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 4 Apr 2025, finished Heerenveen 3–1 Willem II, a win for Heerenveen.
Heerenveen 3–1 Willem II4 Apr 2025
Willem II 1–2 Heerenveen8 Dec 2024
Willem II 0–0 Heerenveen5 Mar 2022
Heerenveen 2–1 Willem II21 Nov 2021
Season averages per game
WIHE
1.00Goals1.80
3.20Conceded1.30
1.18xG1.50
2.25xG against1.45
11.6Shots15.3
2.7On target5.9
4.8Corners4.8
1.40Yellow cards0.90
0%Clean sheets40%
80%Both score40%
80%3+ goals60%