GossipBall
La LigaSaturday 28 February 2026 ·

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club result and stats

31%
test home win
1–1
full time
31%
draw
38%
test away win
Win probability: home 31%, draw 31%, away 38%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Club drew 1–1 in the La Liga on Saturday 28 February 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Rayo Vallecano 31%, the draw 31% and Athletic Club 38%, so a draw had a 31% chance. It would have been an upset.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

RVAC
15
Shots
8
7
On target
2
5
Corners
4
8
Fouls
17
2
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
1
Half-time goals
0

Recent form

Rayo Vallecano
D @ Real Betis1–1 · 21 Feb
W v Atlético Madrid3–0 · 15 Feb
L @ Real Madrid1–2 · 1 Feb
L v Osasuna1–3 · 24 Jan
L @ Celta Vigo0–3 · 18 Jan
Athletic Club
W v Elche2–1 · 20 Feb
W @ Real Oviedo2–1 · 15 Feb
W v Levante4–2 · 8 Feb
D v Real Sociedad1–1 · 1 Feb
L @ Sevilla1–2 · 24 Jan

Head to head

In 9 league meetings since 2021, Rayo Vallecano won 1, Athletic Club won 7 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 25 Aug 2025, finished Athletic Club 1–0 Rayo Vallecano, a win for Athletic Club.

Athletic Club 1–0 Rayo Vallecano25 Aug 2025
Athletic Club 3–1 Rayo Vallecano13 Apr 2025
Rayo Vallecano 1–2 Athletic Club1 Dec 2024
Rayo Vallecano 0–1 Athletic Club25 May 2024
Athletic Club 4–0 Rayo Vallecano2 Dec 2023
Rayo Vallecano 0–0 Athletic Club5 Mar 2023

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]