Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano are 16th in the La Liga with 9 points from 9 games (2 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats), having scored 12 and conceded 20.
They average 1.40 expected goals for and 1.72 against per game, and GossipBall ranks them 11th of 20 teams in the league on its ratings.
Simulating the rest of the season 10,000 times, GossipBall expects Rayo Vallecano to finish with about 44 points, with a 0% chance of winning the league, 0% of a top-four finish and 15% of finishing in the bottom three.
Next up: home to Celta Vigo on Saturday 31 October 2026, where GossipBall gives Rayo Vallecano a 40% chance of winning.
11 / 20GOSSIPBALL rating rank
1.40xG per game
1.72xG against per game
0%clean sheets
43.7expected final points
0%chance to win the league
Next matches
Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo
Win probability: home 40%, draw 28%, away 32%
Likeliest score 1–1
Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano prediction (La Liga):
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
Win probability: home 49%, draw 25%, away 25%
Likeliest score 1–0
Results this season
24 Oct
Rayo Vallecano0
Elche3
Upset
Win probability: home 48%, draw 26%, away 26%
1.5–2.5match xG
Getafe 1–1 Rayo Vallecano result and stats:
19 Oct
Getafe1
Rayo Vallecano1
Upset
Win probability: home 37%, draw 34%, away 29%
0.6–2.1match xG
Osasuna 1–1 Rayo Vallecano result and stats:
19 Sep
Osasuna1
Rayo Vallecano1
Upset
Win probability: home 44%, draw 28%, away 28%
0.5–1.0match xG
Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Espanyol result and stats:
15 Sep
Rayo Vallecano2
Espanyol1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 46%, draw 28%, away 26%
1.7–1.7match xG
Real Madrid 4–1 Rayo Vallecano result and stats:
12 Sep
Real Madrid4
Rayo Vallecano1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 73%, draw 17%, away 10%
2.6–1.2match xG
Rayo Vallecano 3–2 Santander result and stats:
5 Sep
Rayo Vallecano3
Santander2
Called correctly
Win probability: home 38%, draw 27%, away 35%
1.6–0.5match xG
Barcelona 5–2 Rayo Vallecano result and stats:
31 Aug
Barcelona5
Rayo Vallecano2
Called correctly
Win probability: home 78%, draw 14%, away 8%
2.8–1.1match xG
Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Alaves result and stats:
20 Aug
Rayo Vallecano1
Alaves1
Upset
Win probability: home 46%, draw 29%, away 26%
0.4–2.0match xG
Sevilla 2–1 Rayo Vallecano result and stats:
15 Aug
Sevilla2
Rayo Vallecano1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 41%, draw 28%, away 31%
2.2–1.9match xG
Season stats per game
Goals scored1.33
Goals conceded2.22
Expected goals (xG)1.40
xG against1.72
Shots14.8
Shots on target4.7
Shots on target against5.8
Conversion (goals per shot on target)28%
Corners5.3
Fouls13.1
Yellow cards2.56
Red cards0.22
Clean sheets0%
Both teams scored89%
3 or more goals67%
Failed to score11%
GOSSIPBALL rating
Attack (vs league average)-0.10
Defence (positive = concedes less)+0.10
Overall+0.01