Rayo Vallecano vs Elche result and stats
Win probability: home 48%, draw 26%, away 26%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersElche won 3–0 away at Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga on Saturday 24 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Rayo Vallecano 48%, the draw 26% and Elche 26%, so an away win had a 26% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Rayo Vallecano 1.52, Elche 2.52, so Elche created the better chances. Rayo Vallecano had 18 shots (5 on target) to Elche's 16 (9 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
RVEL
1.52Expected goals2.52
18Shots16
5On target9
3Corners3
15Fouls11
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals2
Recent form
Rayo Vallecano
D @ Getafe1–1 · 19 Oct
D @ Osasuna1–1 · 19 Sep
W v Espanyol2–1 · 15 Sep
L @ Real Madrid1–4 · 12 Sep
W v Santander3–2 · 5 Sep
Elche
D @ Villarreal0–0 · 17 Oct
D v Celta Vigo0–0 · 11 Oct
W @ Espanyol3–1 · 18 Sep
L v Real Madrid2–3 · 15 Sep
D @ Athletic Club1–1 · 12 Sep
Head to head
In 6 league meetings since 2021, Rayo Vallecano won 3, Elche won 3 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 3 Apr 2026, finished Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Elche, a win for Rayo Vallecano.
Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Elche3 Apr 2026
Elche 4–0 Rayo Vallecano21 Dec 2025
Elche 4–0 Rayo Vallecano29 Apr 2023
Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Elche3 Oct 2022
Elche 2–1 Rayo Vallecano18 Feb 2022
Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Elche17 Oct 2021
Season averages per game
RVEL
1.33Goals1.40
2.22Conceded1.70
1.40xG1.23
1.72xG against1.85
14.8Shots11.5
4.7On target4.7
5.3Corners4.4
2.56Yellow cards2.50
0%Clean sheets30%
89%Both score60%
67%3+ goals60%