Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves result and stats
Win probability: home 46%, draw 29%, away 26%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersRayo Vallecano and Alaves drew 1–1 in the La Liga on Thursday 20 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Rayo Vallecano 46%, the draw 29% and Alaves 26%, so a draw had a 29% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Rayo Vallecano 0.42, Alaves 2.00, so Alaves created the better chances. Rayo Vallecano had 8 shots (3 on target) to Alaves's 15 (3 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
RVAL
0.42Expected goals2.00
8Shots15
3On target3
9Corners7
14Fouls13
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Rayo Vallecano
L @ Sevilla1–2 · 15 Aug
W @ Alaves2–1 · 23 May
W v Villarreal2–0 · 17 May
D @ Valencia1–1 · 14 May
D v Girona1–1 · 11 May
Alaves
W v Getafe3–0 · 15 Aug
L v Rayo Vallecano1–2 · 23 May
W @ Real Oviedo1–0 · 17 May
W v Barcelona1–0 · 13 May
D @ Elche1–1 · 9 May
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Rayo Vallecano won 6, Alaves won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 23 May 2026, finished Alaves 1–2 Rayo Vallecano, a win for Rayo Vallecano.
Alaves 1–2 Rayo Vallecano23 May 2026
Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Alaves26 Oct 2025
Alaves 0–2 Rayo Vallecano29 Mar 2025
Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Alaves26 Oct 2024
Alaves 1–0 Rayo Vallecano10 Mar 2024
Rayo Vallecano 2–0 Alaves15 Sep 2023
Season averages per game
RVAL
1.33Goals1.40
2.22Conceded1.10
1.40xG1.32
1.72xG against1.17
14.8Shots13.3
4.7On target4.7
5.3Corners4.1
2.56Yellow cards1.70
0%Clean sheets30%
89%Both score60%
67%3+ goals50%