Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano result and stats
Win probability: home 44%, draw 28%, away 28%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersOsasuna and Rayo Vallecano drew 1–1 in the La Liga on Saturday 19 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Osasuna 44%, the draw 28% and Rayo Vallecano 28%, so a draw had a 28% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Osasuna 0.53, Rayo Vallecano 1.01, so Rayo Vallecano created the better chances. Osasuna had 10 shots (3 on target) to Rayo Vallecano's 19 (2 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
OSRV
0.53Expected goals1.01
10Shots19
3On target2
4Corners4
21Fouls13
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Osasuna
L @ Atlético Madrid0–4 · 16 Sep
L v Espanyol0–2 · 12 Sep
L @ Alaves2–5 · 6 Sep
W v Getafe1–0 · 31 Aug
W @ Celta Vigo2–1 · 27 Aug
Rayo Vallecano
W v Espanyol2–1 · 15 Sep
L @ Real Madrid1–4 · 12 Sep
W v Santander3–2 · 5 Sep
L @ Barcelona2–5 · 31 Aug
D v Alaves1–1 · 20 Aug
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Osasuna won 6, Rayo Vallecano won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 24 Jan 2026, finished Rayo Vallecano 1–3 Osasuna, a win for Osasuna.
Rayo Vallecano 1–3 Osasuna24 Jan 2026
Osasuna 2–0 Rayo Vallecano14 Sep 2025
Osasuna 1–1 Rayo Vallecano19 Jan 2025
Rayo Vallecano 3–1 Osasuna16 Sep 2024
Rayo Vallecano 2–1 Osasuna20 Apr 2024
Osasuna 1–0 Rayo Vallecano15 Dec 2023
Season averages per game
OSRV
1.00Goals1.33
2.00Conceded2.22
1.51xG1.40
1.40xG against1.72
10.7Shots14.8
4.1On target4.7
3.6Corners5.3
2.60Yellow cards2.56
30%Clean sheets0%
40%Both score89%
40%3+ goals67%