Real Madrid vs Villarreal result and stats
Win probability: home 63%, draw 19%, away 18%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersReal Madrid beat Villarreal 3–1 at home in the La Liga on Saturday 4 October 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Real Madrid 63%, the draw 19% and Villarreal 18%, so a home win had a 63% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
RMVI
26Shots9
7On target2
4Corners0
9Fouls14
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards1
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Real Madrid
L @ Atlético Madrid2–5 · 27 Sep
W @ Levante4–1 · 23 Sep
W v Espanyol2–0 · 20 Sep
W @ Real Sociedad2–1 · 13 Sep
W v Mallorca2–1 · 30 Aug
Villarreal
W v Athletic Club1–0 · 27 Sep
W @ Sevilla2–1 · 23 Sep
W v Osasuna2–1 · 20 Sep
L @ Atlético Madrid0–2 · 13 Sep
D @ Celta Vigo1–1 · 31 Aug
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Real Madrid won 3, Villarreal won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 15 Mar 2025, finished Villarreal 1–2 Real Madrid, a win for Real Madrid.
Villarreal 1–2 Real Madrid15 Mar 2025
Real Madrid 2–0 Villarreal5 Oct 2024
Villarreal 4–4 Real Madrid19 May 2024
Real Madrid 4–1 Villarreal17 Dec 2023
Real Madrid 2–3 Villarreal8 Apr 2023
Villarreal 2–1 Real Madrid7 Jan 2023