Alaves vs Valencia result and stats
Win probability: home 47%, draw 27%, away 27%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersValencia won 1–0 away at Alaves in the La Liga on Tuesday 15 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Alaves 47%, the draw 27% and Valencia 27%, so an away win had a 27% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Alaves 1.05, Valencia 0.65, so Alaves created the better chances. Alaves had 15 shots (3 on target) to Valencia's 10 (3 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
ALVA
1.05Expected goals0.65
15Shots10
3On target3
2Corners5
7Fouls14
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Alaves
L @ Santander1–2 · 12 Sep
W v Osasuna5–2 · 6 Sep
W v Villarreal1–0 · 28 Aug
D @ Rayo Vallecano1–1 · 20 Aug
W v Getafe3–0 · 15 Aug
Valencia
L @ Sevilla0–1 · 11 Sep
L v Barcelona0–5 · 6 Sep
L @ Deportivo La Coruña1–3 · 30 Aug
L v Real Betis0–1 · 25 Aug
D v Celta Vigo0–0 · 22 Aug
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Alaves won 4, Valencia won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 8 Mar 2026, finished Valencia 3–2 Alaves, a win for Valencia.
Valencia 3–2 Alaves8 Mar 2026
Alaves 0–0 Valencia20 Oct 2025
Alaves 1–0 Valencia14 May 2025
Valencia 2–2 Alaves22 Dec 2024
Valencia 0–1 Alaves5 May 2024
Alaves 1–0 Valencia2 Sep 2023
Season averages per game
ALVA
1.40Goals0.70
1.10Conceded1.70
1.32xG1.03
1.17xG against1.49
13.3Shots10.9
4.7On target2.9
4.1Corners4.2
1.70Yellow cards2.50
30%Clean sheets30%
60%Both score40%
50%3+ goals50%