Alaves vs Villarreal result and stats
Win probability: home 32%, draw 24%, away 44%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersAlaves beat Villarreal 1–0 at home in the La Liga on Friday 28 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Alaves 32%, the draw 24% and Villarreal 44%, so a home win had a 32% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Alaves 0.81, Villarreal 1.40, so Villarreal created the better chances. Alaves had 9 shots (2 on target) to Villarreal's 19 (6 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
ALVI
0.81Expected goals1.40
9Shots19
2On target6
5Corners9
15Fouls8
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Alaves
D @ Rayo Vallecano1–1 · 20 Aug
W v Getafe3–0 · 15 Aug
L v Rayo Vallecano1–2 · 23 May
W @ Real Oviedo1–0 · 17 May
W v Barcelona1–0 · 13 May
Villarreal
D @ Atlético Madrid2–2 · 23 Aug
D @ Santander2–2 · 16 Aug
W v Atlético Madrid5–1 · 24 May
L @ Rayo Vallecano0–2 · 17 May
L v Sevilla2–3 · 13 May
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Alaves won 2, Villarreal won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 13 Mar 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
Alaves 1–1 Villarreal13 Mar 2026
Villarreal 3–1 Alaves10 Jan 2026
Alaves 1–0 Villarreal8 Mar 2025
Villarreal 3–0 Alaves9 Nov 2024
Alaves 1–1 Villarreal10 Feb 2024
Villarreal 1–1 Alaves22 Oct 2023
Season averages per game
ALVI
1.40Goals1.50
1.10Conceded1.40
1.32xG2.08
1.17xG against1.18
13.3Shots16.6
4.7On target6.0
4.1Corners7.3
1.70Yellow cards1.80
30%Clean sheets10%
60%Both score70%
50%3+ goals70%