Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal result and stats
Win probability: home 53%, draw 22%, away 25%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersAtlético Madrid and Villarreal drew 2–2 in the La Liga on Sunday 23 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Atlético Madrid 53%, the draw 22% and Villarreal 25%, so a draw had a 22% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Atlético Madrid 0.78, Villarreal 3.60, so Villarreal created the better chances. Atlético Madrid had 19 shots (4 on target) to Villarreal's 13 (6 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
AMVI
0.78Expected goals3.60
19Shots13
4On target6
5Corners3
12Fouls13
3Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Atlético Madrid
W v Malaga2–0 · 19 Aug
L @ Villarreal1–5 · 24 May
W v Girona1–0 · 17 May
W @ Osasuna2–1 · 12 May
L v Celta Vigo0–1 · 9 May
Villarreal
D @ Santander2–2 · 16 Aug
W v Atlético Madrid5–1 · 24 May
L @ Rayo Vallecano0–2 · 17 May
L v Sevilla2–3 · 13 May
D @ Mallorca1–1 · 10 May
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Atlético Madrid won 3, Villarreal won 2 and 5 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 May 2026, finished Villarreal 5–1 Atlético Madrid, a win for Villarreal.
Villarreal 5–1 Atlético Madrid24 May 2026
Atlético Madrid 2–0 Villarreal13 Sep 2025
Atlético Madrid 1–1 Villarreal25 Jan 2025
Villarreal 2–2 Atlético Madrid19 Aug 2024
Villarreal 1–2 Atlético Madrid1 Apr 2024
Atlético Madrid 3–1 Villarreal12 Nov 2023
Season averages per game
AMVI
2.00Goals1.50
0.80Conceded1.40
1.70xG2.08
1.06xG against1.18
18.0Shots16.6
6.2On target6.0
6.0Corners7.3
2.40Yellow cards1.80
50%Clean sheets10%
40%Both score70%
70%3+ goals70%