Barcelona vs Real Madrid result and stats
Win probability: home 55%, draw 21%, away 24%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersReal Madrid won 2–1 away at Barcelona in the La Liga on Sunday 25 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Barcelona 55%, the draw 21% and Real Madrid 24%, so an away win had a 24% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Barcelona 1.19, Real Madrid 1.94, so Real Madrid created the better chances. Barcelona had 18 shots (6 on target) to Real Madrid's 10 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
BARM
1.19Expected goals1.94
18Shots10
6On target5
6Corners6
15Fouls11
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Barcelona
W @ Real Betis5–2 · 17 Oct
W v Getafe3–0 · 10 Oct
W @ Sevilla3–1 · 19 Sep
W v Santander7–2 · 16 Sep
W @ Levante4–2 · 13 Sep
Real Madrid
W v Sevilla4–1 · 18 Oct
W v Villarreal1–0 · 10 Oct
L @ Atlético Madrid1–2 · 20 Sep
W @ Elche3–2 · 15 Sep
W v Rayo Vallecano4–1 · 12 Sep
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Barcelona won 5, Real Madrid won 5 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 10 May 2026, finished Barcelona 2–0 Real Madrid, a win for Barcelona.
Barcelona 2–0 Real Madrid10 May 2026
Real Madrid 2–1 Barcelona26 Oct 2025
Barcelona 4–3 Real Madrid11 May 2025
Real Madrid 0–4 Barcelona26 Oct 2024
Real Madrid 3–2 Barcelona21 Apr 2024
Barcelona 1–2 Real Madrid28 Oct 2023
Season averages per game
BARM
4.00Goals2.50
1.10Conceded1.00
3.40xG2.39
1.09xG against1.01
20.9Shots16.8
8.2On target7.0
7.2Corners6.4
1.50Yellow cards2.30
40%Clean sheets20%
60%Both score70%
90%3+ goals80%