La LigaMatchday 11Sunday 1 November 2026 · 13:00

Getafe vs Sevilla prediction

Getafe

38%

home win

likeliest score

1–0

15.6% chance

31%

draw

Sevilla

30%

away win

Win probability: home 38%, draw 31%, away 30%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Getafe slight favourites to beat Sevilla at home in the La Liga on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 13:00 UTC. It gives Getafe a 38% chance of winning, puts the draw at 31% and gives Sevilla 30%.

GossipBall expects 1.0 goals from Getafe and 0.9 from Sevilla, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 29% chance of three or more goals and a 37% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–0 (16%). Getafe keep a clean sheet in 42% of outcomes, Sevilla in 36%.

Getafe are 17th in the table with 9 points from 10 games; Sevilla are 6th with 17. In their last five league games Getafe took 4 points (LWLDL) and Sevilla took 7 (WLDLW). This season Getafe average 0.62 expected goals (xG) for and 1.36 against per game; Sevilla average 1.06 for and 1.38 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Getafe won 3, Sevilla won 6 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 22 Feb 2026, finished Getafe 0–1 Sevilla, a win for Sevilla.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Getafe goalsColumns: Sevilla goals

1–015.6%

0–014.9%

0–113.2%

1–113.2%

2–07.9%

2–16.9%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

85%

2 or more goals

56%

3 or more goals

29%

4 or more goals

12%

5 or more goals

Both teams score

37%

GOSSIPBALL expects 1.9 goals in total: 1.02 for Getafe and 0.87 for Sevilla.

Winning margin

Explained

Getafe by 3

Getafe by 2

11%

Getafe by 1

24%

Draw

31%

Sevilla by 3

Sevilla by 2

Sevilla by 1

20%

Each team's goals

Explained

Getafe expected goals1.02

Sevilla expected goals0.87

Getafe keep a clean sheet42%

Sevilla keep a clean sheet36%

Getafe win without conceding27%

Sevilla win without conceding21%

Getafe score 2 or more27%

Sevilla score 2 or more22%

Recent form

Getafe

L @ Athletic Club0–4 · 25 Oct

D v Rayo Vallecano1–1 · 19 Oct

L @ Barcelona0–3 · 10 Oct

W v Malaga1–0 · 20 Sep

L @ Real Betis0–1 · 17 Sep

Sevilla

W v Osasuna2–0 · 26 Oct

L @ Real Madrid1–4 · 18 Oct

D @ Levante3–3 · 12 Oct

L v Barcelona1–3 · 19 Sep

W @ Deportivo La Coruña1–0 · 16 Sep

Head to head

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Getafe won 3, Sevilla won 6 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 22 Feb 2026, finished Getafe 0–1 Sevilla, a win for Sevilla.

Getafe 0–1 Sevilla22 Feb 2026

Sevilla 1–2 Getafe25 Aug 2025

Getafe 0–0 Sevilla1 Feb 2025

Sevilla 1–0 Getafe14 Sep 2024

Getafe 0–1 Sevilla30 Mar 2024

Sevilla 0–3 Getafe16 Dec 2023

Season averages per game

GESE

0.50

Goals

1.60

1.50

Conceded

1.60

0.62

1.06

1.36

xG against

1.38

10.5

Shots

12.3

2.5

On target

4.6

4.2

Corners

3.4

3.20

Yellow cards

2.70

20%

Clean sheets

30%

Both score

70%

30%

3+ goals

60%

Questions and answers

Who will win Getafe vs Sevilla?

GossipBall gives Getafe a 38% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Sevilla 30%. GossipBall makes Getafe slight favourites to beat Sevilla at home.

What is the most likely score in Getafe vs Sevilla?

The likeliest single score is 1–0, with a 16% chance. The next most likely are 0–0 (15%), 0–1 (13%), 1–1 (13%).

Will both teams score in Getafe vs Sevilla?

GossipBall gives a 37% chance that both Getafe and Sevilla score.

Will there be three or more goals in Getafe vs Sevilla?

There is a 29% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 1.9 goals in total (1.0 for Getafe, 0.9 for Sevilla).

When is Getafe vs Sevilla?

Kick-off is Sunday 1 November 2026 at 13:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Getafe and Sevilla?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Getafe won 3, Sevilla won 6 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 22 Feb 2026, finished Getafe 0–1 Sevilla, a win for Sevilla.