La LigaMatchday 11Saturday 31 October 2026 · 13:00

Levante vs Atlético Madrid prediction

Levante

26%

home win

likeliest score

1–1

10.5% chance

23%

draw

Atlético Madrid

52%

away win

Win probability: home 26%, draw 23%, away 52%

Match preview

GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Atlético Madrid favourites to beat Levante away from home in the La Liga on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 13:00 UTC. It gives Levante a 26% chance of winning, puts the draw at 23% and gives Atlético Madrid 52%.

GossipBall expects 1.2 goals from Levante and 1.8 from Atlético Madrid, so goals look likely: there is a 58% chance of three or more goals and a 59% chance that both teams score. The likeliest single score is 1–1 (11%). Levante keep a clean sheet in 16% of outcomes, Atlético Madrid in 30%.

Levante are 14th in the table with 10 points from 10 games; Atlético Madrid are 2nd with 25. In their last five league games Levante took 5 points (LDDWL) and Atlético Madrid took 15 (WWWWW). This season Levante average 1.34 expected goals (xG) for and 2.03 against per game; Atlético Madrid average 1.70 for and 1.06 against.

In 4 league meetings since 2021, Levante won 1, Atlético Madrid won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 31 Jan 2026, was a 0–0 draw.

GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read

Rows: Levante goalsColumns: Atlético Madrid goals

1–110.5%

1–29.7%

0–18.9%

0–28.0%

2–16.5%

1–06.0%

Goals

Explained

1 or more goals

95%

2 or more goals

80%

3 or more goals

58%

4 or more goals

36%

5 or more goals

19%

Both teams score

59%

GOSSIPBALL expects 3.0 goals in total: 1.21 for Levante and 1.82 for Atlético Madrid.

Winning margin

Explained

Levante by 3

Levante by 2

Levante by 1

15%

Draw

23%

Atlético Madrid by 3

Atlético Madrid by 2

16%

Atlético Madrid by 1

23%

Each team's goals

Explained

Levante expected goals1.21

Atlético Madrid expected goals1.82

Levante keep a clean sheet16%

Atlético Madrid keep a clean sheet30%

Levante win without conceding12%

Atlético Madrid win without conceding25%

Levante score 2 or more34%

Atlético Madrid score 2 or more54%

Recent form

Levante

L @ Real Sociedad1–2 · 25 Oct

W v Athletic Club3–1 · 21 Oct

D @ Deportivo La Coruña1–1 · 16 Oct

D v Sevilla3–3 · 12 Oct

L @ Villarreal1–3 · 20 Sep

Atlético Madrid

W v Deportivo La Coruña1–0 · 24 Oct

W @ Espanyol1–0 · 17 Oct

W @ Alaves2–1 · 10 Oct

W v Real Madrid2–1 · 20 Sep

W v Osasuna4–0 · 16 Sep

Head to head

In 4 league meetings since 2021, Levante won 1, Atlético Madrid won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 31 Jan 2026, was a 0–0 draw.

Levante 0–0 Atlético Madrid31 Jan 2026

Atlético Madrid 3–1 Levante8 Nov 2025

Atlético Madrid 0–1 Levante16 Feb 2022

Levante 2–2 Atlético Madrid28 Oct 2021

Season averages per game

LEAM

1.60

Goals

2.00

1.90

Conceded

0.80

1.34

1.70

2.03

xG against

1.06

11.3

Shots

18.0

4.3

On target

6.2

3.4

Corners

6.0

1.50

Yellow cards

2.40

20%

Clean sheets

50%

70%

Both score

40%

70%

3+ goals

70%

Questions and answers

Who will win Levante vs Atlético Madrid?

GossipBall gives Levante a 26% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atlético Madrid 52%. GossipBall makes Atlético Madrid favourites to beat Levante away from home.

What is the most likely score in Levante vs Atlético Madrid?

The likeliest single score is 1–1, with a 11% chance. The next most likely are 1–2 (10%), 0–1 (9%), 0–2 (8%).

Will both teams score in Levante vs Atlético Madrid?

GossipBall gives a 59% chance that both Levante and Atlético Madrid score.

Will there be three or more goals in Levante vs Atlético Madrid?

There is a 58% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total (1.2 for Levante, 1.8 for Atlético Madrid).

When is Levante vs Atlético Madrid?

Kick-off is Saturday 31 October 2026 at 13:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Levante and Atlético Madrid?

In 4 league meetings since 2021, Levante won 1, Atlético Madrid won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 31 Jan 2026, was a 0–0 draw.