Real Madrid vs Sevilla result and stats
Win probability: home 77%, draw 15%, away 9%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersReal Madrid beat Sevilla 4–1 at home in the La Liga on Sunday 18 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Real Madrid 77%, the draw 15% and Sevilla 9%, so a home win had a 77% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Real Madrid 2.28, Sevilla 0.75, so Real Madrid created the better chances. Real Madrid had 15 shots (8 on target) to Sevilla's 11 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
RMSE
2.28Expected goals0.75
15Shots11
8On target5
1Corners2
10Fouls14
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals0
Recent form
Real Madrid
W v Villarreal1–0 · 10 Oct
L @ Atlético Madrid1–2 · 20 Sep
W @ Elche3–2 · 15 Sep
W v Rayo Vallecano4–1 · 12 Sep
L @ Real Betis0–1 · 4 Sep
Sevilla
D @ Levante3–3 · 12 Oct
L v Barcelona1–3 · 19 Sep
W @ Deportivo La Coruña1–0 · 16 Sep
W v Valencia1–0 · 11 Sep
D @ Espanyol1–1 · 6 Sep
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Real Madrid won 9, Sevilla won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 17 May 2026, finished Sevilla 0–1 Real Madrid, a win for Real Madrid.
Sevilla 0–1 Real Madrid17 May 2026
Real Madrid 2–0 Sevilla20 Dec 2025
Sevilla 0–2 Real Madrid18 May 2025
Real Madrid 4–2 Sevilla22 Dec 2024
Real Madrid 1–0 Sevilla25 Feb 2024
Sevilla 1–1 Real Madrid21 Oct 2023
Season averages per game
RMSE
2.50Goals1.60
1.00Conceded1.60
2.39xG1.06
1.01xG against1.38
16.8Shots12.3
7.0On target4.6
6.4Corners3.4
2.30Yellow cards2.70
20%Clean sheets30%
70%Both score70%
80%3+ goals60%