Real Madrid vs Villarreal result and stats
Win probability: home 65%, draw 18%, away 17%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersReal Madrid beat Villarreal 1–0 at home in the La Liga on Saturday 10 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Real Madrid 65%, the draw 18% and Villarreal 17%, so a home win had a 65% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Real Madrid 1.43, Villarreal 0.59, so Real Madrid created the better chances. Real Madrid had 11 shots (4 on target) to Villarreal's 15 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
RMVI
1.43Expected goals0.59
11Shots15
4On target4
9Corners3
8Fouls13
5Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Real Madrid
L @ Atlético Madrid1–2 · 20 Sep
W @ Elche3–2 · 15 Sep
W v Rayo Vallecano4–1 · 12 Sep
L @ Real Betis0–1 · 4 Sep
W v Malaga4–0 · 30 Aug
Villarreal
W v Levante3–1 · 20 Sep
W @ Malaga3–1 · 17 Sep
L v Real Betis1–2 · 14 Sep
L v Deportivo La Coruña2–3 · 5 Sep
L @ Alaves0–1 · 28 Aug
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Real Madrid won 5, Villarreal won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Jan 2026, finished Villarreal 0–2 Real Madrid, a win for Real Madrid.
Villarreal 0–2 Real Madrid24 Jan 2026
Real Madrid 3–1 Villarreal4 Oct 2025
Villarreal 1–2 Real Madrid15 Mar 2025
Real Madrid 2–0 Villarreal5 Oct 2024
Villarreal 4–4 Real Madrid19 May 2024
Real Madrid 4–1 Villarreal17 Dec 2023
Season averages per game
RMVI
2.50Goals1.50
1.00Conceded1.40
2.39xG2.08
1.01xG against1.18
16.8Shots16.6
7.0On target6.0
6.4Corners7.3
2.30Yellow cards1.80
20%Clean sheets10%
70%Both score70%
80%3+ goals70%