Nice vs Toulouse result and stats
Win probability: home 52%, draw 27%, away 21%

Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersToulouse won 1–0 away at Nice in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 16 August 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Nice 52%, the draw 27% and Toulouse 21%, so an away win had a 21% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
NITO
13Shots10
2On target2
9Corners4
12Fouls13
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Nice
W v Brest6–0 · 17 May
L @ Rennes0–2 · 10 May
W v Reims1–0 · 2 May
W @ Paris Saint-Germain3–1 · 25 Apr
W v Angers2–1 · 20 Apr
Toulouse
W @ Saint-Étienne3–2 · 17 May
D v Lens1–1 · 10 May
W v Rennes2–1 · 3 May
D @ Nantes0–0 · 27 Apr
L @ Reims0–1 · 20 Apr
Head to head
In 6 league meetings since 2022, Nice won 1, Toulouse won 1 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 2 Feb 2025, was a 1–1 draw.
Toulouse 1–1 Nice2 Feb 2025
Nice 1–1 Toulouse25 Aug 2024
Toulouse 2–1 Nice3 Mar 2024
Nice 1–0 Toulouse26 Nov 2023
Nice 0–0 Toulouse21 May 2023
Toulouse 1–1 Nice7 Aug 2022