Toulouse
Toulouse are 11th in the Ligue 1 with 10 points from 8 games (2 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats), having scored 12 and conceded 11.
They average 1.87 expected goals for and 1.29 against per game, and GossipBall ranks them 10th of 18 teams in the league on its ratings.
Simulating the rest of the season 10,000 times, GossipBall expects Toulouse to finish with about 45 points, with a 0% chance of winning the league, 4% of a top-four finish and 3% of finishing in the bottom three.
Next up: away at Marseille on Sunday 1 November 2026, where GossipBall gives Toulouse a 25% chance of winning.
10 / 18GOSSIPBALL rating rank
1.87xG per game
1.29xG against per game
25%clean sheets
45.1expected final points
0.1%chance to win the league
Next matches
Marseille
Toulouse
Win probability: home 51%, draw 23%, away 25%
Likeliest score 1–1
Toulouse vs Strasbourg prediction (Ligue 1):
Toulouse
Strasbourg
Win probability: home 43%, draw 26%, away 32%
Likeliest score 1–1
Results this season
25 Oct
Toulouse0
Troyes0
Upset
Win probability: home 65%, draw 20%, away 14%
0.8–0.4match xG
Le Mans 0–3 Toulouse result and stats:
16 Oct
Le Mans0
Toulouse3
Upset
Win probability: home 42%, draw 23%, away 35%
0.9–1.8match xG
Monaco 2–2 Toulouse result and stats:
10 Oct
Monaco2
Toulouse2
Upset
Win probability: home 53%, draw 23%, away 24%
1.2–1.4match xG
Toulouse 3–2 Le Havre result and stats:
19 Sep
Toulouse3
Le Havre2
Called correctly
Win probability: home 53%, draw 26%, away 21%
1.9–2.3match xG
Lorient 2–2 Toulouse result and stats:
12 Sep
Lorient2
Toulouse2
Upset
Win probability: home 39%, draw 27%, away 34%
0.9–1.6match xG
Toulouse 0–1 Lille result and stats:
3 Sep
Toulouse0
Lille1
Called correctly
Win probability: home 31%, draw 29%, away 40%
3.4–1.1match xG
Brest 2–2 Toulouse result and stats:
29 Aug
Brest2
Toulouse2
Upset
Win probability: home 39%, draw 27%, away 34%
2.7–1.1match xG
Toulouse 0–2 Lyon result and stats:
22 Aug
Toulouse0
Lyon2
Called correctly
Win probability: home 35%, draw 26%, away 39%
2.8–0.7match xG
Season stats per game
Goals scored1.50
Goals conceded1.38
Expected goals (xG)1.87
xG against1.29
Shots12.8
Shots on target4.4
Shots on target against3.9
Conversion (goals per shot on target)34%
Corners4.1
Fouls16.0
Yellow cards2.12
Red cards0.00
Clean sheets25%
Both teams scored50%
3 or more goals62%
Failed to score38%
GOSSIPBALL rating
Attack (vs league average)+0.07
Defence (positive = concedes less)+0.11
Overall+0.18