Lorient vs Toulouse result and stats
Win probability: home 39%, draw 27%, away 34%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersLorient and Toulouse drew 2–2 in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 12 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Lorient 39%, the draw 27% and Toulouse 34%, so a draw had a 27% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Lorient 0.94, Toulouse 1.63, so Toulouse created the better chances. Lorient had 10 shots (3 on target) to Toulouse's 13 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
LOTO
0.94Expected goals1.63
10Shots13
3On target4
4Corners3
8Fouls18
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals0
Recent form
Lorient
W @ Lens1–0 · 5 Sep
L v Troyes1–2 · 29 Aug
D @ Nice0–0 · 22 Aug
L v Le Havre0–2 · 17 May
W @ Metz4–0 · 10 May
Toulouse
L v Lille0–1 · 3 Sep
D @ Brest2–2 · 29 Aug
L v Lyon0–2 · 22 Aug
D @ Nantes0–0 · 17 May
W v Lyon2–1 · 10 May
Head to head
In 6 league meetings since 2022, Lorient won 0, Toulouse won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Mar 2026, finished Toulouse 1–0 Lorient, a win for Toulouse.
Toulouse 1–0 Lorient21 Mar 2026
Lorient 1–1 Toulouse9 Nov 2025
Lorient 1–2 Toulouse28 Apr 2024
Toulouse 1–1 Lorient3 Dec 2023
Lorient 0–1 Toulouse23 Apr 2023
Toulouse 2–2 Lorient21 Aug 2022
Season averages per game
LOTO
0.88Goals1.50
0.75Conceded1.38
1.09xG1.87
1.03xG against1.29
9.8Shots12.8
3.1On target4.4
3.1Corners4.1
1.12Yellow cards2.12
62%Clean sheets25%
38%Both score50%
38%3+ goals62%