Toulouse vs Le Havre result and stats
Win probability: home 53%, draw 26%, away 21%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersToulouse beat Le Havre 3–2 at home in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 19 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Toulouse 53%, the draw 26% and Le Havre 21%, so a home win had a 53% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Toulouse 1.95, Le Havre 2.34, so Le Havre created the better chances. Toulouse had 14 shots (5 on target) to Le Havre's 18 (7 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
TOLH
1.95Expected goals2.34
14Shots18
5On target7
6Corners7
17Fouls15
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Toulouse
D @ Lorient2–2 · 12 Sep
L v Lille0–1 · 3 Sep
D @ Brest2–2 · 29 Aug
L v Lyon0–2 · 22 Aug
D @ Nantes0–0 · 17 May
Le Havre
D v Angers0–0 · 12 Sep
L v Brest1–2 · 5 Sep
D @ Lyon1–1 · 29 Aug
L v Monaco0–1 · 23 Aug
W @ Lorient2–0 · 17 May
Head to head
In 6 league meetings since 2023, Toulouse won 2, Le Havre won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 15 Feb 2026, finished Le Havre 2–1 Toulouse, a win for Le Havre.
Le Havre 2–1 Toulouse15 Feb 2026
Toulouse 0–0 Le Havre2 Nov 2025
Le Havre 1–4 Toulouse23 Feb 2025
Toulouse 2–0 Le Havre15 Sep 2024
Le Havre 1–0 Toulouse10 Mar 2024
Toulouse 1–2 Le Havre5 Nov 2023
Season averages per game
TOLH
1.50Goals1.00
1.38Conceded1.88
1.87xG1.59
1.29xG against1.68
12.8Shots16.5
4.4On target5.0
4.1Corners5.4
2.12Yellow cards1.75
25%Clean sheets12%
50%Both score62%
62%3+ goals50%