Monaco vs Toulouse result and stats
Win probability: home 53%, draw 23%, away 24%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersMonaco and Toulouse drew 2–2 in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 10 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Monaco 53%, the draw 23% and Toulouse 24%, so a draw had a 23% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Monaco 1.17, Toulouse 1.43, so Toulouse created the better chances. Monaco had 16 shots (4 on target) to Toulouse's 8 (4 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
MOTO
1.17Expected goals1.43
16Shots8
4On target4
4Corners4
10Fouls16
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals0
Recent form
Monaco
W v Lens2–1 · 18 Sep
D @ Strasbourg1–1 · 12 Sep
W @ Paris Saint-Germain2–1 · 4 Sep
W v Marseille2–0 · 30 Aug
W @ Le Havre1–0 · 23 Aug
Toulouse
W v Le Havre3–2 · 19 Sep
D @ Lorient2–2 · 12 Sep
L v Lille0–1 · 3 Sep
D @ Brest2–2 · 29 Aug
L v Lyon0–2 · 22 Aug
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2022, Monaco won 4, Toulouse won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 25 Apr 2026, was a 2–2 draw.
Toulouse 2–2 Monaco25 Apr 2026
Monaco 1–0 Toulouse25 Oct 2025
Toulouse 1–1 Monaco7 Mar 2025
Monaco 2–0 Toulouse7 Dec 2024
Monaco 1–2 Toulouse18 Feb 2024
Toulouse 1–2 Monaco20 Dec 2023
Season averages per game
MOTO
1.38Goals1.50
0.88Conceded1.38
1.25xG1.87
1.26xG against1.29
12.9Shots12.8
4.6On target4.4
4.0Corners4.1
2.25Yellow cards2.12
25%Clean sheets25%
62%Both score50%
38%3+ goals62%