Le Mans vs Toulouse result and stats
Win probability: home 42%, draw 23%, away 35%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersToulouse won 3–0 away at Le Mans in the Ligue 1 on Friday 16 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Le Mans 42%, the draw 23% and Toulouse 35%, so an away win had a 35% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Le Mans 0.95, Toulouse 1.81, so Toulouse created the better chances. Le Mans had 11 shots (1 on target) to Toulouse's 13 (5 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
LMTO
0.95Expected goals1.81
11Shots13
1On target5
2Corners2
15Fouls9
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Le Mans
L @ Paris Saint-Germain1–3 · 10 Oct
W v Lorient2–1 · 19 Sep
D v Lens2–2 · 13 Sep
D @ Nice1–1 · 5 Sep
L @ Rennes2–3 · 30 Aug
Toulouse
D @ Monaco2–2 · 10 Oct
W v Le Havre3–2 · 19 Sep
D @ Lorient2–2 · 12 Sep
L v Lille0–1 · 3 Sep
D @ Brest2–2 · 29 Aug
Head to head
These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
LMTO
1.38Goals1.50
2.00Conceded1.38
1.52xG1.87
2.06xG against1.29
10.6Shots12.8
3.8On target4.4
2.5Corners4.1
2.38Yellow cards2.12
0%Clean sheets25%
88%Both score50%
75%3+ goals62%