Brest vs Toulouse result and stats
Win probability: home 39%, draw 27%, away 34%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersBrest and Toulouse drew 2–2 in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 29 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Brest 39%, the draw 27% and Toulouse 34%, so a draw had a 27% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Brest 2.73, Toulouse 1.12, so Brest created the better chances. Brest had 26 shots (7 on target) to Toulouse's 6 (2 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
BRTO
2.73Expected goals1.12
26Shots6
7On target2
7Corners2
19Fouls18
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Recent form
Brest
D @ Le Mans2–2 · 22 Aug
D v Angers1–1 · 17 May
L v Strasbourg1–2 · 13 May
L @ Paris Saint-Germain0–1 · 10 May
L @ Paris FC0–4 · 3 May
Toulouse
L v Lyon0–2 · 22 Aug
D @ Nantes0–0 · 17 May
W v Lyon2–1 · 10 May
W @ Strasbourg2–1 · 3 May
D v Monaco2–2 · 25 Apr
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2023, Brest won 4, Toulouse won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 25 Jan 2026, finished Brest 0–2 Toulouse, a win for Toulouse.
Brest 0–2 Toulouse25 Jan 2026
Toulouse 2–0 Brest24 Aug 2025
Toulouse 2–4 Brest30 Mar 2025
Brest 2–0 Toulouse22 Sep 2024
Toulouse 0–3 Brest19 May 2024
Brest 1–1 Toulouse8 Oct 2023
Season averages per game
BRTO
1.75Goals1.50
1.50Conceded1.38
2.06xG1.87
1.24xG against1.29
16.9Shots12.8
5.9On target4.4
4.6Corners4.1
1.50Yellow cards2.12
0%Clean sheets25%
88%Both score50%
75%3+ goals62%