Toulouse vs Troyes result and stats
Win probability: home 65%, draw 20%, away 14%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersToulouse and Troyes drew 0–0 in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 25 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Toulouse 65%, the draw 20% and Troyes 14%, so a draw had a 20% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Toulouse 0.84, Troyes 0.39, so Toulouse created the better chances. Toulouse had 7 shots (3 on target) to Troyes's 8 (0 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
TOTR
0.84Expected goals0.39
7Shots8
3On target0
4Corners2
19Fouls14
6Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Toulouse
W @ Le Mans3–0 · 16 Oct
D @ Monaco2–2 · 10 Oct
W v Le Havre3–2 · 19 Sep
D @ Lorient2–2 · 12 Sep
L v Lille0–1 · 3 Sep
Troyes
L v Lens1–3 · 17 Oct
L v Marseille0–2 · 11 Oct
L @ Angers0–2 · 19 Sep
L @ Lille0–2 · 13 Sep
L v Strasbourg2–6 · 6 Sep
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2022, Toulouse won 2, Troyes won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Feb 2023, finished Toulouse 4–1 Troyes, a win for Toulouse.
Toulouse 4–1 Troyes1 Feb 2023
Troyes 0–3 Toulouse14 Aug 2022
Season averages per game
TOTR
1.50Goals0.62
1.38Conceded2.00
1.87xG1.13
1.29xG against1.65
12.8Shots13.6
4.4On target2.8
4.1Corners6.5
2.12Yellow cards1.62
25%Clean sheets25%
50%Both score38%
62%3+ goals38%