Toulouse vs Lille result and stats
Win probability: home 31%, draw 29%, away 40%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersLille won 1–0 away at Toulouse in the Ligue 1 on Thursday 3 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Toulouse 31%, the draw 29% and Lille 40%, so an away win had a 40% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Toulouse 3.41, Lille 1.07, so Toulouse created the better chances. Toulouse had 24 shots (10 on target) to Lille's 10 (6 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
TOLI
3.41Expected goals1.07
24Shots10
10On target6
6Corners2
16Fouls9
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Toulouse
D @ Brest2–2 · 29 Aug
L v Lyon0–2 · 22 Aug
D @ Nantes0–0 · 17 May
W v Lyon2–1 · 10 May
W @ Strasbourg2–1 · 3 May
Lille
D v Paris Saint-Germain2–2 · 28 Aug
W @ Angers2–0 · 23 Aug
L v Auxerre0–2 · 17 May
W @ Monaco1–0 · 10 May
D v Le Havre1–1 · 3 May
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2022, Toulouse won 1, Lille won 6 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 12 Apr 2026, finished Toulouse 0–4 Lille, a win for Lille.
Toulouse 0–4 Lille12 Apr 2026
Lille 2–1 Toulouse14 Sep 2025
Toulouse 1–2 Lille12 Apr 2025
Lille 2–1 Toulouse5 Oct 2024
Toulouse 3–1 Lille25 Feb 2024
Lille 1–1 Toulouse12 Nov 2023
Season averages per game
TOLI
1.50Goals1.38
1.38Conceded0.75
1.87xG1.38
1.29xG against1.66
12.8Shots11.2
4.4On target5.0
4.1Corners3.0
2.12Yellow cards1.62
25%Clean sheets50%
50%Both score50%
62%3+ goals25%