Toulouse vs Lyon result and stats
Win probability: home 33%, draw 26%, away 41%

Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersToulouse beat Lyon 2–1 at home in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 10 May 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Toulouse 33%, the draw 26% and Lyon 41%, so a home win had a 33% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
TOLY
14Shots18
6On target3
7Corners8
20Fouls9
6Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Toulouse
W @ Strasbourg2–1 · 3 May
D v Monaco2–2 · 25 Apr
L @ Lens2–3 · 17 Apr
L v Lille0–4 · 12 Apr
L @ Paris Saint-Germain1–3 · 3 Apr
Lyon
W v Rennes4–2 · 3 May
W v Auxerre3–2 · 25 Apr
W @ Paris Saint-Germain2–1 · 19 Apr
W v Lorient2–0 · 12 Apr
D @ Angers0–0 · 5 Apr
Head to head
In 7 league meetings since 2022, Toulouse won 1, Lyon won 4 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 5 Oct 2025, finished Lyon 1–2 Toulouse, a win for Toulouse.
Lyon 1–2 Toulouse5 Oct 2025
Lyon 0–0 Toulouse18 Jan 2025
Toulouse 1–2 Lyon29 Sep 2024
Toulouse 2–3 Lyon15 Mar 2024
Lyon 3–0 Toulouse10 Dec 2023
Toulouse 1–2 Lyon14 Apr 2023