GossipBall
Ligue 1Sunday 19 October 2025 ·

Toulouse vs Metz result and stats

65%
test home win
4–0
full time
21%
draw
Metz
14%
test away win
Win probability: home 65%, draw 21%, away 14%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Toulouse beat Metz 4–0 at home in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 19 October 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Toulouse 65%, the draw 21% and Metz 14%, so a home win had a 65% chance. The favourite result came in.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

TOME
16
Shots
2
7
On target
2
5
Corners
1
14
Fouls
11
2
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
1
2
Half-time goals
0

Recent form

Toulouse
W @ Lyon2–1 · 5 Oct
D v Nantes2–2 · 27 Sep
L @ Auxerre0–1 · 21 Sep
L @ Lille1–2 · 14 Sep
L v Paris Saint-Germain3–6 · 30 Aug
Metz
L v Marseille0–3 · 4 Oct
D v Le Havre0–0 · 28 Sep
L @ Monaco2–5 · 21 Sep
D v Angers1–1 · 14 Sep
L @ Paris FC2–3 · 31 Aug

Head to head

In 2 league meetings since 2023, Toulouse won 2, Metz won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 14 Jan 2024, finished Metz 0–1 Toulouse, a win for Toulouse.

Metz 0–1 Toulouse14 Jan 2024
Toulouse 3–0 Metz1 Oct 2023

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]