Toulouse vs Nice result and stats
Win probability: home 40%, draw 26%, away 34%

Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersToulouse beat Nice 5–1 at home in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 17 January 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Toulouse 40%, the draw 26% and Nice 34%, so a home win had a 40% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
TONI
22Shots15
10On target6
6Corners7
12Fouls17
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals0
Recent form
Toulouse
L v Lens0–3 · 2 Jan
W @ Paris FC3–0 · 13 Dec
W v Strasbourg1–0 · 6 Dec
D @ Marseille2–2 · 29 Nov
L v Angers0–1 · 23 Nov
Nice
D v Strasbourg1–1 · 3 Jan
L @ Lens0–2 · 14 Dec
L v Angers0–1 · 7 Dec
L @ Lorient1–3 · 30 Nov
L v Marseille1–5 · 21 Nov
Head to head
In 7 league meetings since 2022, Toulouse won 2, Nice won 1 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 16 Aug 2025, finished Nice 0–1 Toulouse, a win for Toulouse.
Nice 0–1 Toulouse16 Aug 2025
Toulouse 1–1 Nice2 Feb 2025
Nice 1–1 Toulouse25 Aug 2024
Toulouse 2–1 Nice3 Mar 2024
Nice 1–0 Toulouse26 Nov 2023
Nice 0–0 Toulouse21 May 2023