GossipBall
Ligue 1Saturday 17 January 2026 ·

Toulouse vs Nice result and stats

40%
test home win
5–1
full time
26%
draw
34%
test away win
Win probability: home 40%, draw 26%, away 34%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Toulouse beat Nice 5–1 at home in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 17 January 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Toulouse 40%, the draw 26% and Nice 34%, so a home win had a 40% chance. The favourite result came in.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

TONI
22
Shots
15
10
On target
6
6
Corners
7
12
Fouls
17
1
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
2
Half-time goals
0

Recent form

Toulouse
L v Lens0–3 · 2 Jan
W @ Paris FC3–0 · 13 Dec
W v Strasbourg1–0 · 6 Dec
D @ Marseille2–2 · 29 Nov
L v Angers0–1 · 23 Nov
Nice
D v Strasbourg1–1 · 3 Jan
L @ Lens0–2 · 14 Dec
L v Angers0–1 · 7 Dec
L @ Lorient1–3 · 30 Nov
L v Marseille1–5 · 21 Nov

Head to head

In 7 league meetings since 2022, Toulouse won 2, Nice won 1 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 16 Aug 2025, finished Nice 0–1 Toulouse, a win for Toulouse.

Nice 0–1 Toulouse16 Aug 2025
Toulouse 1–1 Nice2 Feb 2025
Nice 1–1 Toulouse25 Aug 2024
Toulouse 2–1 Nice3 Mar 2024
Nice 1–0 Toulouse26 Nov 2023
Nice 0–0 Toulouse21 May 2023

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]