Lille vs Brest result and stats
Win probability: home 54%, draw 25%, away 21%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersLille and Brest drew 1–1 in the Ligue 1 on Saturday 17 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Lille 54%, the draw 25% and Brest 21%, so a draw had a 25% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Lille 2.17, Brest 0.78, so Lille created the better chances. Lille had 17 shots (5 on target) to Brest's 8 (2 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
LIBR
2.17Expected goals0.78
17Shots8
5On target2
5Corners2
12Fouls20
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Lille
W v Le Havre1–0 · 10 Oct
L @ Nice1–2 · 20 Sep
W v Troyes2–0 · 13 Sep
W @ Toulouse1–0 · 3 Sep
D v Paris Saint-Germain2–2 · 28 Aug
Brest
W v Angers5–1 · 10 Oct
L @ Auxerre1–2 · 20 Sep
L v Paris Saint-Germain0–1 · 13 Sep
W @ Le Havre2–1 · 5 Sep
D v Toulouse2–2 · 29 Aug
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Lille won 3, Brest won 2 and 5 were drawn; the most recent, on 14 Feb 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
Lille 1–1 Brest14 Feb 2026
Brest 3–3 Lille17 Aug 2025
Brest 2–0 Lille10 May 2025
Lille 3–1 Brest6 Dec 2024
Brest 1–1 Lille17 Mar 2024
Lille 1–0 Brest22 Oct 2023
Season averages per game
LIBR
1.38Goals1.75
0.75Conceded1.50
1.38xG2.06
1.66xG against1.24
11.2Shots16.9
5.0On target5.9
3.0Corners4.6
1.62Yellow cards1.50
50%Clean sheets0%
50%Both score88%
25%3+ goals75%