Monaco vs Lille result and stats
Win probability: home 41%, draw 27%, away 33%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersMonaco and Lille drew 1–1 in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 25 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Monaco 41%, the draw 27% and Lille 33%, so a draw had a 27% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Monaco 2.35, Lille 0.75, so Monaco created the better chances. Monaco had 21 shots (6 on target) to Lille's 4 (2 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
MOLI
2.35Expected goals0.75
21Shots4
6On target2
6Corners1
18Fouls13
3Yellow cards4
0Red cards1
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Monaco
L @ Lorient0–1 · 18 Oct
D v Toulouse2–2 · 10 Oct
W v Lens2–1 · 18 Sep
D @ Strasbourg1–1 · 12 Sep
W @ Paris Saint-Germain2–1 · 4 Sep
Lille
D v Brest1–1 · 17 Oct
W v Le Havre1–0 · 10 Oct
L @ Nice1–2 · 20 Sep
W v Troyes2–0 · 13 Sep
W @ Toulouse1–0 · 3 Sep
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Monaco won 2, Lille won 5 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 10 May 2026, finished Monaco 0–1 Lille, a win for Lille.
Monaco 0–1 Lille10 May 2026
Lille 1–0 Monaco24 Aug 2025
Lille 2–1 Monaco22 Feb 2025
Monaco 0–0 Lille18 Oct 2024
Monaco 1–0 Lille24 Apr 2024
Lille 2–0 Monaco29 Oct 2023
Season averages per game
MOLI
1.38Goals1.38
0.88Conceded0.75
1.25xG1.38
1.26xG against1.66
12.9Shots11.2
4.6On target5.0
4.0Corners3.0
2.25Yellow cards1.62
25%Clean sheets50%
62%Both score50%
38%3+ goals25%