Monaco vs Marseille result and stats
Win probability: home 42%, draw 23%, away 35%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersMonaco beat Marseille 2–0 at home in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 30 August 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Monaco 42%, the draw 23% and Marseille 35%, so a home win had a 42% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Monaco 1.49, Marseille 1.22, so Monaco created the better chances. Monaco had 11 shots (5 on target) to Marseille's 13 (2 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
MOMA
1.49Expected goals1.22
11Shots13
5On target2
5Corners7
9Fouls10
4Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Monaco
W @ Le Havre1–0 · 23 Aug
L @ Strasbourg4–5 · 17 May
L v Lille0–1 · 10 May
W @ Metz2–1 · 2 May
D @ Toulouse2–2 · 25 Apr
Marseille
W v Strasbourg4–0 · 21 Aug
W v Rennes3–1 · 17 May
W @ Le Havre1–0 · 10 May
L @ Nantes0–3 · 2 May
D v Nice1–1 · 26 Apr
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Monaco won 4, Marseille won 4 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 5 Apr 2026, finished Monaco 2–1 Marseille, a win for Monaco.
Monaco 2–1 Marseille5 Apr 2026
Marseille 1–0 Monaco14 Dec 2025
Monaco 3–0 Marseille12 Apr 2025
Marseille 2–1 Monaco1 Dec 2024
Marseille 2–2 Monaco27 Jan 2024
Monaco 3–2 Marseille30 Sep 2023
Season averages per game
MOMA
1.38Goals2.25
0.88Conceded1.62
1.25xG1.67
1.26xG against2.29
12.9Shots12.9
4.6On target4.9
4.0Corners4.4
2.25Yellow cards1.25
25%Clean sheets25%
62%Both score50%
38%3+ goals62%