Nice vs Lille result and stats
Win probability: home 28%, draw 28%, away 43%
Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersNice beat Lille 2–1 at home in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 20 September 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Nice 28%, the draw 28% and Lille 43%, so a home win had a 28% chance. It was an upset by GossipBall's numbers.
On expected goals it finished Nice 1.53, Lille 1.81, so Lille created the better chances. Nice had 10 shots (4 on target) to Lille's 21 (8 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
NILI
1.53Expected goals1.81
10Shots21
4On target8
3Corners7
16Fouls9
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Nice
L @ Auxerre0–1 · 12 Sep
D v Le Mans1–1 · 5 Sep
L @ Paris FC0–3 · 30 Aug
D v Lorient0–0 · 22 Aug
D v Metz0–0 · 17 May
Lille
W v Troyes2–0 · 13 Sep
W @ Toulouse1–0 · 3 Sep
D v Paris Saint-Germain2–2 · 28 Aug
W @ Angers2–0 · 23 Aug
L v Auxerre0–2 · 17 May
Head to head
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Nice won 4, Lille won 2 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Apr 2026, was a 0–0 draw.
Lille 0–0 Nice18 Apr 2026
Nice 2–0 Lille29 Oct 2025
Lille 2–1 Nice17 Jan 2025
Nice 2–2 Lille10 Nov 2024
Lille 2–2 Nice19 May 2024
Nice 1–1 Lille11 Aug 2023
Season averages per game
NILI
1.00Goals1.38
1.25Conceded0.75
1.09xG1.38
1.70xG against1.66
11.4Shots11.2
3.5On target5.0
5.9Corners3.0
2.25Yellow cards1.62
12%Clean sheets50%
62%Both score50%
62%3+ goals25%