Troyes vs Marseille result and stats
Win probability: home 18%, draw 19%, away 63%

Match report
GOSSIPBALL's parrot has been crunching the numbersMarseille won 2–0 away at Troyes in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 11 October 2026. Before kick-off GossipBall gave Troyes 18%, the draw 19% and Marseille 63%, so an away win had a 63% chance. GossipBall's favourite result came in.
On expected goals it finished Troyes 1.06, Marseille 1.30, so Marseille created the better chances. Troyes had 15 shots (3 on target) to Marseille's 5 (2 on target).
GOSSIPBALL analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 29 October 2026, 20:50 UTC
Match stats
TRMA
1.06Expected goals1.30
15Shots5
3On target2
6Corners3
14Fouls15
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Troyes
L @ Angers0–2 · 19 Sep
L @ Lille0–2 · 13 Sep
L v Strasbourg2–6 · 6 Sep
W @ Lorient2–1 · 29 Aug
D v Paris FC0–0 · 22 Aug
Marseille
L v Paris Saint-Germain1–2 · 20 Sep
L @ Rennes0–1 · 11 Sep
L v Paris FC2–3 · 6 Sep
L @ Monaco0–2 · 30 Aug
W v Strasbourg4–0 · 21 Aug
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2021, Troyes won 0, Marseille won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 16 Apr 2023, finished Marseille 3–1 Troyes, a win for Marseille.
Marseille 3–1 Troyes16 Apr 2023
Troyes 0–2 Marseille11 Jan 2023
Troyes 1–1 Marseille27 Feb 2022
Marseille 1–0 Troyes28 Nov 2021
Season averages per game
TRMA
0.62Goals2.25
2.00Conceded1.62
1.13xG1.67
1.65xG against2.29
13.6Shots12.9
2.8On target4.9
6.5Corners4.4
1.62Yellow cards1.25
25%Clean sheets25%
38%Both score50%
38%3+ goals62%