GossipBall
Premier LeagueSunday 25 January 2026 ·

Arsenal vs Manchester United result and stats

67%
test home win
2–3
full time
21%
draw
12%
test away win
Win probability: home 67%, draw 21%, away 12%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Manchester United won 3–2 away at Arsenal in the Premier League on Sunday 25 January 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Arsenal 67%, the draw 21% and Manchester United 12%, so an away win had a 12% chance. It would have been an upset.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

ARMU
15
Shots
10
4
On target
3
9
Corners
2
11
Fouls
9
2
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
1
Half-time goals
1

Referee: C Pawson

Recent form

Arsenal
D @ Nottingham Forest0–0 · 17 Jan
D v Liverpool0–0 · 8 Jan
W @ Bournemouth3–2 · 3 Jan
W v Aston Villa4–1 · 30 Dec
W v Brighton2–1 · 27 Dec
Manchester United
W v Manchester City2–0 · 17 Jan
D @ Burnley2–2 · 7 Jan
D @ Leeds1–1 · 4 Jan
D v Wolves1–1 · 30 Dec
W v Newcastle United1–0 · 26 Dec

Head to head

In 9 league meetings since 2021, Arsenal won 6, Manchester United won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 17 Aug 2025, finished Manchester United 0–1 Arsenal, a win for Arsenal.

Manchester United 0–1 Arsenal17 Aug 2025
Manchester United 1–1 Arsenal9 Mar 2025
Arsenal 2–0 Manchester United4 Dec 2024
Manchester United 0–1 Arsenal12 May 2024
Arsenal 3–1 Manchester United3 Sep 2023
Arsenal 3–2 Manchester United22 Jan 2023

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]