GossipBall
Premier LeagueSunday 5 October 2025 ·

Aston Villa vs Burnley result and stats

64%
test home win
2–1
full time
21%
draw
Burnley
16%
test away win
Win probability: home 64%, draw 21%, away 16%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Aston Villa beat Burnley 2–1 at home in the Premier League on Sunday 5 October 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Aston Villa 64%, the draw 21% and Burnley 16%, so a home win had a 64% chance. The favourite result came in.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

AVBU
15
Shots
5
7
On target
2
6
Corners
4
9
Fouls
15
3
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
1
Half-time goals
0

Referee: A Kitchen

Recent form

Aston Villa
W v Fulham3–1 · 28 Sep
D @ Sunderland1–1 · 21 Sep
D @ Everton0–0 · 13 Sep
L v Crystal Palace0–3 · 31 Aug
L @ Brentford0–1 · 23 Aug
Burnley
L @ Manchester City1–5 · 27 Sep
D v Nottingham Forest1–1 · 20 Sep
L v Liverpool0–1 · 14 Sep
L @ Manchester United2–3 · 30 Aug
W v Sunderland2–0 · 23 Aug

Head to head

In 4 league meetings since 2022, Aston Villa won 3, Burnley won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 30 Dec 2023, finished Aston Villa 3–2 Burnley, a win for Aston Villa.

Aston Villa 3–2 Burnley30 Dec 2023
Burnley 1–3 Aston Villa27 Aug 2023
Aston Villa 1–1 Burnley19 May 2022
Burnley 1–3 Aston Villa7 May 2022

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]