Arouca vs Tondela result and stats
Win probability: home 57%, draw 23%, away 20%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersArouca beat Tondela 3–1 at home in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 16 May 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Arouca 57%, the draw 23% and Tondela 20%, so a home win had a 57% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
ARTO
16Shots11
4On target2
5Corners6
12Fouls12
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Arouca
W @ Gil Vicente3–1 · 11 May
D v Santa Clara2–2 · 2 May
L @ Alverca1–2 · 24 Apr
W v Estrela1–0 · 19 Apr
L @ Sp Braga0–1 · 12 Apr
Tondela
W v Moreirense2–0 · 11 May
W @ Casa Pia1–0 · 3 May
D @ Sporting CP2–2 · 29 Apr
L v Nacional0–2 · 25 Apr
L @ Porto0–2 · 19 Apr
Head to head
In 3 league meetings since 2021, Arouca won 1, Tondela won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 3 Jan 2026, finished Tondela 3–1 Arouca, a win for Tondela.
Tondela 3–1 Arouca3 Jan 2026
Tondela 2–2 Arouca19 Mar 2022
Arouca 2–0 Tondela29 Oct 2021