GossipBall
Primeira LigaSaturday 7 February 2026 ·

Arouca vs Vitória SC result and stats

32%
test home win
3–2
full time
25%
draw
43%
test away win
Win probability: home 32%, draw 25%, away 43%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Arouca beat Vitória SC 3–2 at home in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 7 February 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Arouca 32%, the draw 25% and Vitória SC 43%, so a home win had a 32% chance. It would have been an upset.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

ARVI
10
Shots
14
6
On target
6
1
Corners
6
19
Fouls
15
1
Yellow cards
4
0
Red cards
0
1
Half-time goals
2

Recent form

Arouca
W @ Rio Ave3–0 · 31 Jan
L v Sporting CP1–2 · 24 Jan
W @ AVS1–0 · 17 Jan
L @ Tondela1–3 · 3 Jan
D v Gil Vicente2–2 · 28 Dec
Vitória SC
W v Moreirense1–0 · 30 Jan
L @ Estoril2–4 · 24 Jan
L v Porto0–1 · 18 Jan
W v Nacional2–1 · 2 Jan
D @ Casa Pia0–0 · 28 Dec

Head to head

In 9 league meetings since 2021, Arouca won 2, Vitória SC won 3 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 30 Aug 2025, was a 1–1 draw.

Vitória SC 1–1 Arouca30 Aug 2025
Vitória SC 2–2 Arouca18 Jan 2025
Arouca 0–1 Vitória SC12 Aug 2024
Arouca 1–3 Vitória SC18 May 2024
Vitória SC 2–1 Arouca15 Jan 2024
Vitória SC 0–2 Arouca11 Mar 2023

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]