AVS vs Estrela result and stats
Win probability: home 31%, draw 27%, away 42%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersAVS and Estrela drew 0–0 in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 28 February 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave AVS 31%, the draw 27% and Estrela 42%, so a draw had a 27% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
AVES
11Shots16
3On target6
7Corners9
17Fouls9
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
AVS
L @ Benfica0–3 · 21 Feb
W v Estoril3–0 · 15 Feb
L @ Famalicão1–3 · 9 Feb
L v Sp Braga0–4 · 2 Feb
D @ Casa Pia3–3 · 23 Jan
Estrela
L v Tondela0–2 · 20 Feb
L @ Vitória SC1–2 · 14 Feb
W v Santa Clara1–0 · 7 Feb
D @ Alverca1–1 · 31 Jan
L @ Benfica0–4 · 25 Jan
Head to head
In 3 league meetings since 2024, AVS won 1, Estrela won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 27 Sep 2025, finished Estrela 3–0 AVS, a win for Estrela.
Estrela 3–0 AVS27 Sep 2025
Estrela 0–1 AVS11 May 2025
AVS 1–1 Estrela28 Dec 2024