AVS vs Nacional result and stats
Win probability: home 21%, draw 25%, away 54%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersAVS and Nacional drew 2–2 in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 21 December 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave AVS 21%, the draw 25% and Nacional 54%, so a draw had a 25% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
AVNA
16Shots19
3On target6
9Corners2
10Fouls11
1Yellow cards0
1Red cards0
2Half-time goals0
Recent form
AVS
L @ Sporting CP0–6 · 13 Dec
L v Rio Ave1–2 · 6 Dec
L @ Vitória SC0–4 · 28 Nov
D v Gil Vicente1–1 · 9 Nov
D v Tondela2–2 · 2 Nov
Nacional
W v Tondela3–1 · 15 Dec
L @ Alverca0–1 · 7 Dec
L v Benfica1–2 · 29 Nov
D @ Estrela1–1 · 9 Nov
L v Famalicão0–1 · 1 Nov
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2024, AVS won 0, Nacional won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 19 Jan 2025, finished Nacional 3–1 AVS, a win for Nacional.
Nacional 3–1 AVS19 Jan 2025
AVS 1–1 Nacional10 Aug 2024