Casa Pia vs Tondela result and stats
Win probability: home 51%, draw 26%, away 22%

Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersTondela won 1–0 away at Casa Pia in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 3 May 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Casa Pia 51%, the draw 26% and Tondela 22%, so an away win had a 22% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
CPTO
4Shots9
3On target5
7Corners2
22Fouls19
8Yellow cards3
2Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Casa Pia
L @ Gil Vicente1–2 · 27 Apr
L v Sp Braga0–1 · 23 Apr
D v Santa Clara0–0 · 18 Apr
L @ Alverca1–3 · 12 Apr
D v Benfica1–1 · 6 Apr
Tondela
D @ Sporting CP2–2 · 29 Apr
L v Nacional0–2 · 25 Apr
L @ Porto0–2 · 19 Apr
D v Gil Vicente2–2 · 13 Apr
L @ Vitória SC0–5 · 3 Apr
Head to head
In 1 league meeting since 2025, Casa Pia won 1, Tondela won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Dec 2025, finished Tondela 1–2 Casa Pia, a win for Casa Pia.
Tondela 1–2 Casa Pia21 Dec 2025