Estoril vs Tondela result and stats
Win probability: home 71%, draw 17%, away 12%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersEstoril and Tondela drew 2–2 in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 7 February 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Estoril 71%, the draw 17% and Tondela 12%, so a draw had a 17% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
ESTO
15Shots6
6On target5
5Corners4
8Fouls8
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals2
Recent form
Estoril
W @ Santa Clara4–2 · 31 Jan
W v Vitória SC4–2 · 24 Jan
W @ Estrela5–0 · 19 Jan
L @ Benfica1–3 · 3 Jan
W v Alverca4–1 · 27 Dec
Tondela
D v Benfica0–0 · 1 Feb
L @ Famalicão0–3 · 25 Jan
L v Sp Braga0–1 · 18 Jan
L @ Moreirense0–1 · 11 Jan
W v Arouca3–1 · 3 Jan
Head to head
In 3 league meetings since 2021, Estoril won 2, Tondela won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 31 Aug 2025, was a 2–2 draw.
Tondela 2–2 Estoril31 Aug 2025
Estoril 1–0 Tondela12 Feb 2022
Tondela 1–2 Estoril13 Sep 2021