GossipBall
Primeira LigaSaturday 24 January 2026 ·

Estoril vs Vitória SC result and stats

38%
test home win
4–2
full time
24%
draw
37%
test away win
Win probability: home 38%, draw 24%, away 37%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Estoril beat Vitória SC 4–2 at home in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 24 January 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Estoril 38%, the draw 24% and Vitória SC 37%, so a home win had a 38% chance. The favourite result came in.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

ESVI
16
Shots
13
6
On target
4
4
Corners
2
9
Fouls
19
2
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
1
Half-time goals
2

Recent form

Estoril
W @ Estrela5–0 · 19 Jan
L @ Benfica1–3 · 3 Jan
W v Alverca4–1 · 27 Dec
W v Sp Braga1–0 · 19 Dec
L @ Famalicão0–4 · 14 Dec
Vitória SC
L v Porto0–1 · 18 Jan
W v Nacional2–1 · 2 Jan
D @ Casa Pia0–0 · 28 Dec
L v Sporting CP1–4 · 23 Dec
W @ Rio Ave1–0 · 13 Dec

Head to head

In 9 league meetings since 2021, Estoril won 1, Vitória SC won 7 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 16 Aug 2025, finished Vitória SC 3–2 Estoril, a win for Vitória SC.

Vitória SC 3–2 Estoril16 Aug 2025
Estoril 1–0 Vitória SC26 Jan 2025
Vitória SC 1–0 Estoril18 Aug 2024
Estoril 1–3 Vitória SC2 Mar 2024
Vitória SC 3–2 Estoril1 Oct 2023
Estoril 0–1 Vitória SC4 Feb 2023

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]