Estrela vs AVS result and stats
Win probability: home 45%, draw 31%, away 24%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersEstrela beat AVS 3–0 at home in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 27 September 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Estrela 45%, the draw 31% and AVS 24%, so a home win had a 45% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
ESAV
11Shots11
6On target2
6Corners6
11Fouls20
3Yellow cards2
1Red cards1
3Half-time goals0
Recent form
Estrela
D @ Tondela0–0 · 21 Sep
L v Vitória SC0–2 · 14 Sep
D @ Santa Clara0–0 · 31 Aug
D v Alverca2–2 · 25 Aug
L v Benfica0–1 · 16 Aug
AVS
L v Benfica0–3 · 20 Sep
L @ Estoril1–3 · 13 Sep
L v Famalicão0–1 · 30 Aug
D @ Sp Braga2–2 · 24 Aug
L v Casa Pia0–2 · 15 Aug
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2024, Estrela won 0, AVS won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 11 May 2025, finished Estrela 0–1 AVS, a win for AVS.
Estrela 0–1 AVS11 May 2025
AVS 1–1 Estrela28 Dec 2024