Estrela vs Gil Vicente result and stats
Win probability: home 25%, draw 28%, away 46%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersEstrela and Gil Vicente drew 2–2 in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 8 March 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Estrela 25%, the draw 28% and Gil Vicente 46%, so a draw had a 28% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
ESGV
9Shots19
5On target6
0Corners8
16Fouls17
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Estrela
D @ AVS0–0 · 28 Feb
L v Tondela0–2 · 20 Feb
L @ Vitória SC1–2 · 14 Feb
W v Santa Clara1–0 · 7 Feb
D @ Alverca1–1 · 31 Jan
Gil Vicente
L v Benfica1–2 · 2 Mar
L @ Estoril1–3 · 22 Feb
W v Sp Braga2–1 · 14 Feb
W @ Moreirense2–1 · 7 Feb
W v Famalicão5–0 · 1 Feb
Head to head
In 5 league meetings since 2024, Estrela won 1, Gil Vicente won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 4 Oct 2025, finished Gil Vicente 2–0 Estrela, a win for Gil Vicente.
Gil Vicente 2–0 Estrela4 Oct 2025
Estrela 1–1 Gil Vicente7 Mar 2025
Gil Vicente 3–0 Estrela5 Oct 2024
Estrela 1–0 Gil Vicente18 May 2024
Gil Vicente 1–1 Estrela14 Jan 2024