Primeira LigaFriday 20 February 2026 · 20:45

Estrela vs Tondela result and stats

Estrela

46%

test home win

0–2

full time

29%

draw

Tondela

25%

test away win

Win probability: home 46%, draw 29%, away 25%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Tondela won 2–0 away at Estrela in the Primeira Liga on Friday 20 February 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Estrela 46%, the draw 29% and Tondela 25%, so an away win had a 25% chance. It would have been an upset.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

ESTO

Shots

On target

Corners

Fouls

Yellow cards

Red cards

Half-time goals

Recent form

Estrela

L @ Vitória SC1–2 · 14 Feb

W v Santa Clara1–0 · 7 Feb

D @ Alverca1–1 · 31 Jan

L @ Benfica0–4 · 25 Jan

L v Estoril0–5 · 19 Jan

Tondela

D v Alverca1–1 · 13 Feb

D @ Estoril2–2 · 7 Feb

D v Benfica0–0 · 1 Feb

L @ Famalicão0–3 · 25 Jan

L v Sp Braga0–1 · 18 Jan

Head to head

In 1 league meeting since 2025, Estrela won 0, Tondela won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 21 Sep 2025, was a 0–0 draw.

Tondela 0–0 Estrela21 Sep 2025