Estrela vs Vitória SC result and stats
Win probability: home 23%, draw 28%, away 49%

Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersVitória SC won 2–0 away at Estrela in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 14 September 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Estrela 23%, the draw 28% and Vitória SC 49%, so an away win had a 49% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
ESVI
10Shots14
1On target6
3Corners2
10Fouls11
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Estrela
D @ Santa Clara0–0 · 31 Aug
D v Alverca2–2 · 25 Aug
L v Benfica0–1 · 16 Aug
D @ Estoril1–1 · 11 Aug
L @ Estoril0–4 · 17 May
Vitória SC
D v Arouca1–1 · 30 Aug
L @ Moreirense0–2 · 23 Aug
W v Estoril3–2 · 16 Aug
L @ Porto0–3 · 11 Aug
L @ Sporting CP0–2 · 17 May
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2023, Estrela won 0, Vitória SC won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 16 Mar 2025, finished Vitória SC 2–0 Estrela, a win for Vitória SC.
Vitória SC 2–0 Estrela16 Mar 2025
Estrela 2–2 Vitória SC27 Oct 2024
Vitória SC 3–0 Estrela21 Jan 2024
Estrela 0–1 Vitória SC13 Aug 2023