GossipBall
Primeira LigaSunday 14 September 2025 ·

Estrela vs Vitória SC result and stats

23%
test home win
0–2
full time
28%
draw
49%
test away win
Win probability: home 23%, draw 28%, away 49%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Vitória SC won 2–0 away at Estrela in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 14 September 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Estrela 23%, the draw 28% and Vitória SC 49%, so an away win had a 49% chance. The favourite result came in.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

ESVI
10
Shots
14
1
On target
6
3
Corners
2
10
Fouls
11
2
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
Half-time goals
1

Recent form

Estrela
D @ Santa Clara0–0 · 31 Aug
D v Alverca2–2 · 25 Aug
L v Benfica0–1 · 16 Aug
D @ Estoril1–1 · 11 Aug
L @ Estoril0–4 · 17 May
Vitória SC
D v Arouca1–1 · 30 Aug
L @ Moreirense0–2 · 23 Aug
W v Estoril3–2 · 16 Aug
L @ Porto0–3 · 11 Aug
L @ Sporting CP0–2 · 17 May

Head to head

In 4 league meetings since 2023, Estrela won 0, Vitória SC won 3 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 16 Mar 2025, finished Vitória SC 2–0 Estrela, a win for Vitória SC.

Vitória SC 2–0 Estrela16 Mar 2025
Estrela 2–2 Vitória SC27 Oct 2024
Vitória SC 3–0 Estrela21 Jan 2024
Estrela 0–1 Vitória SC13 Aug 2023

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]