GossipBall
Primeira LigaSunday 11 January 2026 ·

Moreirense vs Tondela result and stats

61%
test home win
1–0
full time
22%
draw
Tondela
16%
test away win
Win probability: home 61%, draw 22%, away 16%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Moreirense beat Tondela 1–0 at home in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 11 January 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Moreirense 61%, the draw 22% and Tondela 16%, so a home win had a 61% chance. The favourite result came in.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

MOTO
7
Shots
8
2
On target
2
4
Corners
2
7
Fouls
13
1
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
0
Half-time goals
0

Recent form

Moreirense
W @ AVS2–0 · 3 Jan
D @ Estrela0–0 · 20 Dec
L v Benfica0–4 · 14 Dec
D @ Estoril3–3 · 7 Dec
D v Famalicão2–2 · 29 Nov
Tondela
W v Arouca3–1 · 3 Jan
L v Casa Pia1–2 · 21 Dec
L @ Nacional1–3 · 15 Dec
L v Porto0–2 · 7 Dec
W @ Gil Vicente1–0 · 29 Nov

Head to head

In 2 league meetings since 2022, Moreirense won 1, Tondela won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 16 Apr 2022, finished Moreirense 2–0 Tondela, a win for Moreirense.

Moreirense 2–0 Tondela16 Apr 2022
Tondela 2–1 Moreirense3 Jan 2022

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]