Nacional vs AVS result and stats
Win probability: home 63%, draw 22%, away 15%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersAVS won 2–1 away at Nacional in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 2 May 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Nacional 63%, the draw 22% and AVS 15%, so an away win had a 15% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
NAAV
24Shots19
6On target3
8Corners6
8Fouls14
4Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
1Half-time goals1
Recent form
Nacional
W @ Tondela2–0 · 25 Apr
W v Alverca1–0 · 18 Apr
L @ Benfica0–2 · 12 Apr
W v Estrela2–0 · 4 Apr
L @ Famalicão0–1 · 21 Mar
AVS
D v Sporting CP1–1 · 26 Apr
D @ Rio Ave2–2 · 17 Apr
D v Vitória SC1–1 · 11 Apr
L @ Gil Vicente0–3 · 3 Apr
D @ Tondela0–0 · 21 Mar
Head to head
In 3 league meetings since 2024, Nacional won 1, AVS won 0 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Dec 2025, was a 2–2 draw.
AVS 2–2 Nacional21 Dec 2025
Nacional 3–1 AVS19 Jan 2025
AVS 1–1 Nacional10 Aug 2024