Nacional vs Santa Clara result and stats
Win probability: home 35%, draw 32%, away 33%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersNacional and Santa Clara drew 3–3 in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 11 January 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Nacional 35%, the draw 32% and Santa Clara 33%, so a draw had a 32% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
NASC
13Shots22
5On target6
2Corners8
14Fouls11
4Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
2Half-time goals2
Recent form
Nacional
L @ Vitória SC1–2 · 2 Jan
D @ AVS2–2 · 21 Dec
W v Tondela3–1 · 15 Dec
L @ Alverca0–1 · 7 Dec
L v Benfica1–2 · 29 Nov
Santa Clara
L v Porto0–1 · 4 Jan
D v Arouca0–0 · 21 Dec
L @ Sp Braga0–1 · 15 Dec
W v Casa Pia1–0 · 6 Dec
D @ Rio Ave1–1 · 30 Nov
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2024, Nacional won 1, Santa Clara won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 30 Mar 2025, finished Santa Clara 1–0 Nacional, a win for Santa Clara.
Santa Clara 1–0 Nacional30 Mar 2025
Nacional 2–0 Santa Clara4 Nov 2024