Nacional vs Tondela result and stats
Win probability: home 52%, draw 29%, away 20%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersNacional beat Tondela 3–1 at home in the Primeira Liga on Monday 15 December 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Nacional 52%, the draw 29% and Tondela 20%, so a home win had a 52% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
NATO
8Shots21
4On target5
3Corners10
11Fouls17
5Yellow cards6
1Red cards1
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Nacional
L @ Alverca0–1 · 7 Dec
L v Benfica1–2 · 29 Nov
D @ Estrela1–1 · 9 Nov
L v Famalicão0–1 · 1 Nov
D @ Estoril1–1 · 26 Oct
Tondela
L v Porto0–2 · 7 Dec
W @ Gil Vicente1–0 · 29 Nov
L v Vitória SC0–1 · 8 Nov
D @ AVS2–2 · 2 Nov
L v Sporting CP0–3 · 26 Oct
Head to head
These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.