Nacional vs Vitória SC result and stats
Win probability: home 35%, draw 27%, away 38%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersNacional beat Vitória SC 2–0 at home in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 16 May 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Nacional 35%, the draw 27% and Vitória SC 38%, so a home win had a 35% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
NAVI
5Shots13
3On target4
2Corners6
17Fouls13
4Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Nacional
L @ Santa Clara0–2 · 11 May
L v AVS1–2 · 2 May
W @ Tondela2–0 · 25 Apr
W v Alverca1–0 · 18 Apr
L @ Benfica0–2 · 12 Apr
Vitória SC
L v Casa Pia0–1 · 11 May
L @ Sporting CP1–5 · 4 May
W v Rio Ave2–0 · 25 Apr
W @ Gil Vicente1–0 · 18 Apr
D @ AVS1–1 · 11 Apr
Head to head
In 3 league meetings since 2024, Nacional won 0, Vitória SC won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 2 Jan 2026, finished Vitória SC 2–1 Nacional, a win for Vitória SC.
Vitória SC 2–1 Nacional2 Jan 2026
Nacional 1–2 Vitória SC3 May 2025
Vitória SC 2–2 Nacional23 Dec 2024